Thursday, September 17, 2009

EVMs and Unanswered Questions - Part II - || Satyameva Jayate ||

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      • As Anupam and Prof Nalapat noted in their article in Covert, there are not too many ways in which the information about “votes polled” in the spreadsheet on the ECI website could have changed BEFORE the results were actually announced.

        Realistically, this could have only happened if:

        1. Someone had hacked the file.
        2. The data from various EVMs had been uploaded to the private database, and this was used to create the public file.
        3. Someone who had access to the private database had actually added the data.
      • If you are still not convinced that something has gone wrong somewhere, this last bit will probably clinch the argument:

        The various versions of the files downloaded from ECI website by Nalapat-Saraph on 6th, 7th and 11th May and the data were merged together along with the final results found on ECI site on June 2nd…

        2. Candidates in every constituency were ranked as 1, 2 and 3 on the basis of the votes seen in ECI excel sheets on 6th, 7th and 11th May.
        3. Then the same candidates were ranked within each constituency based on the votes recorded on June 2nd spreadsheet by ECI.

        The Result?

        1. Out of 543 constituencies, we find 106 winning positions (rank 1) matched for all four dates
        2. 80 candidates matched for the rank 2 and
        3. 59 for the rank 3…

        Basic probability theory suggests that such a coincidence is practically impossible…